Temperatura e molhamento foliar na incidência e desenvolvimento de Sclerotinia sclerotiorum em feijoeiro comum

Priscila Santos
Walmes M. Zeviani

Análise preliminar.


Material and methods

Incluír o básico.


Data analysis

Session definitions

##----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Session Definition      

pkg <- c("lattice", 
         "latticeExtra",
         "gridExtra",
         "doBy", 
         "multcomp",
         "plyr",
         "MASS", 
         "wzRfun")

sapply(pkg, library, character.only=TRUE, logical.return=TRUE)

##-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Trellis plots settings.

lattice.options(default.theme=modifyList(standard.theme(color=FALSE),
                    list(strip.background=list(col="transparent"))))
## trellis.device(color=FALSE)

Reading data

##----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Read the data.

## list.files()
da <- read.table("molhamento_foliar.txt", header=TRUE,
                 sep="\t", stringsAsFactors=TRUE)
## str(da)

xt <- xtabs(~temp+dpm, data=da)
addmargins(xt)
##      dpm
## temp    4   8  12  16  20  24  28 Sum
##   10   18  18  18  18  18  18  18 126
##   15   18  18  18  18  18  18  18 126
##   20   18  18  18  18  18  18  18 126
##   25   18  18  18  18  18  18  18 126
##   30   18  18  18  18  18  18  18 126
##   Sum  90  90  90  90  90  90  90 630
dn <- dimnames(xt)
fl <- c(outer(dn$dpm, dn$temp, paste, sep="."))
da <- transform(da,
                trat=interaction(dpm, temp))
da$trat <- factor(da$trat, levels=fl)
str(da)
## 'data.frame':    630 obs. of  5 variables:
##  $ trat : Factor w/ 35 levels "4.10","8.10",..: 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 ...
##  $ rep  : int  1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 ...
##  $ temp : int  10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 ...
##  $ dpm  : int  4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 8 ...
##  $ lesao: num  0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 ...
##-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Gráficos.

xyplot(lesao~dpm|temp, data=da)

## Criar a variável ocorrência = {0,1}.
da$oco <- sign(da$lesao)

## Gráfico de ocorrência ou não de lesão.
xyplot(oco~dpm|temp, data=da)

## Gráfico do tamanho da lesão quando houve ocorrência.
xyplot(lesao~dpm|temp, data=subset(da, oco==1))

##-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Modelo binomial para ocorrência.

m0 <- glm(oco~temp+I(temp^2)+dpm+I(dpm^2)+temp:dpm, data=da,
          family=binomial)

par(mfrow=c(2,2)); plot(m0); layout(1)

summary(m0)
## 
## Call:
## glm(formula = oco ~ temp + I(temp^2) + dpm + I(dpm^2) + temp:dpm, 
##     family = binomial, data = da)
## 
## Deviance Residuals: 
##      Min        1Q    Median        3Q       Max  
## -1.38881  -0.25189  -0.01194  -0.00074   2.36401  
## 
## Coefficients:
##              Estimate Std. Error z value Pr(>|z|)    
## (Intercept) -61.03995   12.35179  -4.942 7.74e-07 ***
## temp          3.31682    0.62644   5.295 1.19e-07 ***
## I(temp^2)    -0.06560    0.01043  -6.291 3.15e-10 ***
## dpm           1.82894    0.64304   2.844  0.00445 ** 
## I(dpm^2)     -0.02909    0.01134  -2.564  0.01034 *  
## temp:dpm     -0.01257    0.01378  -0.913  0.36150    
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## (Dispersion parameter for binomial family taken to be 1)
## 
##     Null deviance: 405.19  on 629  degrees of freedom
## Residual deviance: 200.63  on 624  degrees of freedom
## AIC: 212.63
## 
## Number of Fisher Scoring iterations: 10
##-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Modelo GAM.

require(mgcv)
## Loading required package: mgcv
## Loading required package: nlme
## This is mgcv 1.8-3. For overview type 'help("mgcv-package")'.
m0 <- gam(oco~s(temp, k=3)+s(dpm, k=3), data=da,
          family=quasibinomial)
summary(m0)
## 
## Family: quasibinomial 
## Link function: logit 
## 
## Formula:
## oco ~ s(temp, k = 3) + s(dpm, k = 3)
## 
## Parametric coefficients:
##             Estimate Std. Error t value Pr(>|t|)    
## (Intercept)  -8.7165     0.8974  -9.713   <2e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## Approximate significance of smooth terms:
##           edf Ref.df     F  p-value    
## s(temp) 1.991  2.000 55.57  < 2e-16 ***
## s(dpm)  1.953  1.998 37.35 4.16e-16 ***
## ---
## Signif. codes:  0 '***' 0.001 '**' 0.01 '*' 0.05 '.' 0.1 ' ' 1
## 
## R-sq.(adj) =  0.405   Deviance explained = 51.2%
## GCV = 0.31867  Scale est. = 0.32436   n = 630
##-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Splines.

## require(splines)
## m0 <- glm(oco~bs(temp, df=4)+bs(dpm, df=4), data=da,
##           family=binomial)
## m0 <- glm(oco~bs(temp)+bs(dpm)+bs(I(temp*dpm)), data=da,
##           family=quasibinomial)
## m1 <- glm(oco~bs(temp)+bs(dpm), data=da,
##           family=quasibinomial)
## anova(m0, m1, test="F")
## summary(m0)

##-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Gráfico da probabilidade de ocorrência.

pred <- with(da,
             expand.grid(
                 dpm=seq(min(dpm), max(dpm), l=50),
                 temp=seq(min(temp), max(temp), l=50)
             ))

pred$p <- predict(m0, newdata=pred, type="response")

## levelplot(p~temp+dpm, data=pred)

wireframe(p~dpm+temp, data=pred,
          zlim=c(0,1),
          scales=list(arrows=FALSE),
          panel.3d.wireframe=panel.3d.contour,
          levels=seq(0,1,by=0.05),
          type=c("on", "top"),
          drape=TRUE)


Software and packages version

##----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Versions.

sessionInfo()
## R version 3.1.2 (2014-10-31)
## Platform: x86_64-pc-linux-gnu (64-bit)
## 
## locale:
##  [1] LC_CTYPE=en_US.UTF-8       LC_NUMERIC=C               LC_TIME=pt_BR.UTF-8       
##  [4] LC_COLLATE=en_US.UTF-8     LC_MONETARY=pt_BR.UTF-8    LC_MESSAGES=en_US.UTF-8   
##  [7] LC_PAPER=pt_BR.UTF-8       LC_NAME=C                  LC_ADDRESS=C              
## [10] LC_TELEPHONE=C             LC_MEASUREMENT=pt_BR.UTF-8 LC_IDENTIFICATION=C       
## 
## attached base packages:
## [1] methods   splines   grid      stats     graphics  grDevices utils     datasets 
## [9] base     
## 
## other attached packages:
##  [1] mgcv_1.8-3          nlme_3.1-118        wzRfun_0.5          MASS_7.3-35        
##  [5] plyr_1.8.1          multcomp_1.3-8      TH.data_1.0-4       mvtnorm_1.0-1      
##  [9] doBy_4.5-12         survival_2.37-7     gridExtra_0.9.1     latticeExtra_0.6-26
## [13] RColorBrewer_1.0-5  lattice_0.20-29     rmarkdown_0.3.10    knitr_1.8          
## 
## loaded via a namespace (and not attached):
##  [1] digest_0.6.4    evaluate_0.5.5  formatR_1.0     htmltools_0.2.4 Matrix_1.1-4   
##  [6] Rcpp_0.11.3     sandwich_2.3-2  stringr_0.6.2   tools_3.1.2     yaml_2.1.13    
## [11] zoo_1.7-11
##-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Citation.

citation()
## 
## To cite R in publications use:
## 
##   R Core Team (2014). R: A language and environment for statistical computing. R
##   Foundation for Statistical Computing, Vienna, Austria. URL
##   http://www.R-project.org/.
## 
## A BibTeX entry for LaTeX users is
## 
##   @Manual{,
##     title = {R: A Language and Environment for Statistical Computing},
##     author = {{R Core Team}},
##     organization = {R Foundation for Statistical Computing},
##     address = {Vienna, Austria},
##     year = {2014},
##     url = {http://www.R-project.org/},
##   }
## 
## We have invested a lot of time and effort in creating R, please cite it when
## using it for data analysis. See also 'citation("pkgname")' for citing R
## packages.
##-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
## Last modification.

Sys.time()
## [1] "2014-12-25 01:07:46 BRST"