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disciplinas:verao2007:exercicios [2007/01/30 14:27]
paulojus
disciplinas:verao2007:exercicios [2007/02/15 09:26]
paulojus
Linha 39: Linha 39:
   - Now investigate how the appearance of your realisation $S$ changes if in the equation above you replace the diagonal matrix $\Lambda$ by truncated form in which you replace the last $k$ eigenvalues by zeros.   - Now investigate how the appearance of your realisation $S$ changes if in the equation above you replace the diagonal matrix $\Lambda$ by truncated form in which you replace the last $k$ eigenvalues by zeros.
  
-==== Semana 3 ==== 
  
- - Fit a model to the surface elevation data assuming a linear trend model on the coordinates and a Matérn correlation function with parameter kappa=2.5. ​ + 
-Use the fitted model as the true model and perform a simulation study (i.e. simulate from this model) to compare parameter estimation based on  maximum likelihood, restricted maximum likelihood and variograms. + 
-- Simulate 200 points in the unit square from the Gaussian model without measurement error, constant mean equals to zero, unit variance and exponential correlation function with $\phi=0.25$ and anisotropy parameters $(\psi_A=\pi/​3,​ \psi_R=2)$. Obtain parameter estimates (using maximum likelihood):​ + 
-  * assuming ​ a isotropic model + 
-  * try to estimate the anisotropy parameters +==== Semana 3 ==== 
-Compare the results and repeat the exercise for $\phi_R=4$. +  - Fit a model to the surface elevation data assuming a linear trend model on the coordinates and a Matérn correlation function with parameter kappa=2.5. ​ Use the fitted model as the true model and perform a simulation study (i.e. simulate from this model) to compare parameter estimation based on  maximum likelihood, restricted maximum likelihood and variograms. 
- - Consider a stationary trans-Gaussian model with known transformation function $h(\cdot)$, let $x$ be an arbitrary+  - Simulate 200 points in the unit square from the Gaussian model without measurement error, constant mean equals to zero, unit variance and exponential correlation function with $\phi=0.25$ and anisotropy parameters $(\psi_A=\pi/​3,​ \psi_R=2)$. Obtain parameter estimates (using maximum likelihood):​ 
 +    * assuming ​ a isotropic model 
 +    * try to estimate the anisotropy parameters ​\\ Compare the results and repeat the exercise for $\phi_R=4$. 
 +  - Consider a stationary trans-Gaussian model with known transformation function $h(\cdot)$, let $x$ be an arbitrary
 location within the study region and define $T=h^{- 1}{S(x)}$. Find explicit expressions for ${\rm P}(T>​c|Y)$ where location within the study region and define $T=h^{- 1}{S(x)}$. Find explicit expressions for ${\rm P}(T>​c|Y)$ where
 $Y=(Y_1,​...,​Y_n)$ denotes the observed measurements on the untransformed scale and: $Y=(Y_1,​...,​Y_n)$ denotes the observed measurements on the untransformed scale and:
-    * $h(u)=u$+    * <​latex>​$h(u)=u$</​latex>​
     * $h(u) = \log u$     * $h(u) = \log u$
-    * $h(u) = \sqrt{u}$ +    * $h(u) = \sqrt{u}$. 
- - Analyse the Paraná data-set or any other data set of your choice assuming priors obtaining:+  - Analyse the Paraná data-set or any other data set of your choice assuming priors obtaining:
     * a map of the predicted values over the area     * a map of the predicted values over the area
     * a map of the predicted std errors over the area     * a map of the predicted std errors over the area

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